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Home » Predictions » Others » Westerlo x Gent Betting tips for December 1 in Belgium First Division A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 18h15 Belgium First Division A
Westerlo Westerlo
PREDICTION No tip
Gent Gent
Don't miss this prediction!

Westerlo x Gent Betting tips for December 1 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Westerlo x Gent, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
18:15
Westerlo Westerlo
2.29
X
3.56
Gent Gent
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Westerlo x Gent:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Westerlo x Gent

Some important points for the tip for Westerlo x Gent:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Westerlo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $12.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gent in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Gent did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Westerlo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Westerlo x Gent, with Westerlo as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Westerlo conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Gent.
👉 Westerlo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Even as a visitor, Gent won the last 3 head-to-head matches Westerlo´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Westerlo x Gent?

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Analysis from Westerlo x Gent for the Belgium First Division A – 1 of December

🏟️ Westerlo X Gent – Belgium First Division A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 18:15
🔵 Westerlo – Winning probability: 39.67% | Fair line: 2.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.85% | Fair line: 3.59
🔴 Gent – Winning probability: 32.48% | Fair line: 3.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Westerlo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Westerlo and Gent.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Westerlo x Gent

Should you bet on Westerlo?

🔵 Westerlo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $516.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$84.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $716.80;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gent?

🔴 Gent: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Westerlo x Gent

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Westerlo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Westerlo x Gent

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Westerlo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Westerlo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Westerlo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Westerlo x Gent

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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