Weymouth x Aveley Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
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25/11/2023 15:00 |
 Weymouth2.98 |
X 3.40 |
Aveley  2.05 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Weymouth x Aveley:
๐ฎ Aveley wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aveley, you can win up to $1025.00!
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The main points for the tip for Weymouth x Aveley: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Weymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Weymouth x Aveley
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Analysis from Weymouth x Aveley for the England National League South – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Weymouth X Aveley – England National League South |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Weymouth x Aveley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Weymouth x Aveley
Is it a good idea to bet on Weymouth?
๐ต Weymouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $435.60;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$344.40.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$14.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Aveley?
๐ด Aveley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$16.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Weymouth x Aveley
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Weymouth
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Weymouth x Aveley
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Weymouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Weymouth.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Weymouth x Aveley
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
