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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Weymouth x Aveley Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League South
Weymouth Weymouth
PREDICTION Aveley Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Aveley Aveley
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Weymouth x Aveley Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Weymouth x Aveley, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Weymouth Weymouth
2.98
X
3.40
Aveley Aveley
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Weymouth x Aveley:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Aveley wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aveley, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Weymouth x Aveley:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Weymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Aveley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Weymouth scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Weymouth x Aveley

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Summary

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Analysis from Weymouth x Aveley for the England National League South – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Weymouth X Aveley – England National League South
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Weymouth – Winning probability: 22.50% | Fair line: 4.44
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.08% | Fair line: 3.44
๐Ÿ”ด Aveley – Winning probability: 48.42% | Fair line: 2.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Weymouth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Weymouth x Aveley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Weymouth x Aveley

Is it a good idea to bet on Weymouth?

๐Ÿ”ต Weymouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $435.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$344.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Aveley?

๐Ÿ”ด Aveley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$16.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Weymouth x Aveley

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Weymouth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Weymouth x Aveley

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Weymouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Weymouth.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Weymouth x Aveley

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves