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Home » Predictions » Others » Weymouth x Winchester City Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England FA Cup Qualification
Weymouth Weymouth
PREDICTION Weymouth wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Winchester City Winchester City
ODD: @1.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Weymouth x Winchester City Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification

Our betting tip for Weymouth x Winchester City, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:45
Weymouth Weymouth
1.59
X
4.00
Winchester City Winchester City
4.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Weymouth x Winchester City:

🔮 Weymouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Weymouth, you can win up to $795.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Weymouth x Winchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Weymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Winchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Weymouth matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Weymouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Weymouth x Winchester City?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Weymouth x Winchester City:

Analysis from Weymouth x Winchester City for the England FA Cup Qualification – 1 of October

🏟️ Weymouth X Winchester City – England FA Cup Qualification
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Weymouth – Winning probability: 78.51% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.23% | Fair line: 10.84
🔴 Winchester City – Winning probability: 12.26% | Fair line: 8.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Weymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Weymouth and Winchester City.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Weymouth x Winchester City

Is betting on Weymouth worth it?

🔵 Weymouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $466.10;
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$256.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Winchester City?

🔴 Winchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $429.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Weymouth x Winchester City

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Weymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Weymouth x Winchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Weymouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Weymouth.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Weymouth x Winchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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