Weymouth x Winchester City Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification
📅 1/10/2024 15:45 |
Weymouth 1.59 |
X 4.00 |
Winchester City 4.58 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Weymouth x Winchester City:
🔮 Weymouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Weymouth, you can win up to $795.00!
The main points for the tip for Weymouth x Winchester City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Weymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Weymouth x Winchester City for the England FA Cup Qualification – 1 of October
🏟️ Weymouth X Winchester City – England FA Cup Qualification |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Weymouth and Winchester City.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Weymouth x Winchester City
Is betting on Weymouth worth it?
🔵 Weymouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $466.10;
- And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$256.10.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Winchester City?
🔴 Winchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $429.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Weymouth x Winchester City
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Weymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Weymouth x Winchester City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Weymouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Weymouth.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Weymouth x Winchester City
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.