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Home » Predictions » Others » Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa Betting tips for November 30 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 19h15 Poland Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
PREDICTION Rakow Czestochowa Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa Betting tips for November 30 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
19:15
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
3.40
X
3.25
Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa:

🔮 Rakow Czestochowa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rakow Czestochowa, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Widzew Lodz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rakow Czestochowa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 In the last 4 Widzew Lodz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Rakow Czestochowa has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 30 of November

🏟️ Widzew Lodz X Rakow Czestochowa – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 19:15
🔵 Widzew Lodz – Winning probability: 15.86% | Fair line: 6.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.05% | Fair line: 3.84
🔴 Rakow Czestochowa – Winning probability: 58.10% | Fair line: 1.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Widzew Lodz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa

Is it a good idea to bet on Widzew Lodz?

🔵 Widzew Lodz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $384.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is it worth betting on Rakow Czestochowa?

🔴 Rakow Czestochowa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Widzew Lodz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Widzew Lodz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Widzew Lodz.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Widzew Lodz x Rakow Czestochowa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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