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Home » Predictions » Others » Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden Betting tips for December 12 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 12 December 2025, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Willem II Willem II
PREDICTION Willem II wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
ODD: @2.72
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Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden Betting tips for December 12 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden, Friday, 12/12/2025
📅 12/12/2025
19:00
Willem II Willem II
2.72
X
3.55
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
2.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden:

🔮 Willem II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Willem II, you can win up to $1360.00!

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The main points for the tip for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cambuur Leeuwarden in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Cambuur Leeuwarden scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Cambuur Leeuwarden, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Willem II matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Cambuur Leeuwarden matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 12 of December

🏟️ Willem II X Cambuur Leeuwarden – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Willem II – Winning probability: 42.24% | Fair line: 2.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.06% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Cambuur Leeuwarden – Winning probability: 33.69% | Fair line: 2.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden

Should you bet on Willem II?

🔵 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $722.40;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$142.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$148.00.

Is it worth betting on Cambuur Leeuwarden?

🔴 Cambuur Leeuwarden: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $435.20
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$224.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Willem II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Willem II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Willem II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Cambuur Leeuwarden

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves