Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for December 18 in Netherlands Cup
| 📅 18/12/2025 20:00 |
 Willem II3.36 |
X 3.52 |
Sparta Rotterdam  1.94 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:
🔮 Sparta Rotterdam wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sparta Rotterdam, you can win up to $970.00!
Important information for your tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $263.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sparta Rotterdam, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Willem II matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam, with Willem II as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Willem II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sparta Rotterdam.
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Analysis from Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam for the Netherlands Cup – 18 of December
🏟️ Willem II X Sparta Rotterdam – Netherlands Cup
📅 18 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Willem II – Winning probability: 24.99% | Fair line: 4.0
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.62% | Fair line: 6.02
🔴 Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 58.39% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452940 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam
Is betting on Willem II worth it?
🔵 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $590.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $428.40
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$401.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sparta Rotterdam?
🔴 Sparta Rotterdam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $545.20;
- And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Willem II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Willem II.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sparta Rotterdam.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
