Winterthur x FC Thun Betting tips for December 16 in Switzerland Super League
| 📅 16/12/2025 19:30 |
 Winterthur3.92 |
X 3.76 |
FC Thun  1.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Winterthur x FC Thun:
🔮 FC Thun wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Thun, you can win up to $875.00!
Important information for your tip for Winterthur x FC Thun:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Winterthur in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $241.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $440.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Thun scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Winterthur conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Winterthur x FC Thun for the Switzerland Super League – 16 of December
🏟️ Winterthur X FC Thun – Switzerland Super League
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Winterthur – Winning probability: 6.38% | Fair line: 15.68
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.84% | Fair line: 8.45
🔴 FC Thun – Winning probability: 81.79% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Winterthur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Winterthur x FC Thun is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452985 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Winterthur x FC Thun
Is betting on Winterthur worth it?
🔵 Winterthur: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $175.20
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$764.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $331.20;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$548.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Thun?
🔴 FC Thun: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $615.00;
- And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$435.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Winterthur x FC Thun
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Winterthur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Winterthur x FC Thun
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Winterthur and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Winterthur.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FC Thun.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Winterthur x FC Thun
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
