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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Wrexham x Morecambe Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 2
Wrexham Wrexham
PREDICTION Wrexham wins Probability 6% 1 X 2
Morecambe Morecambe
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Wrexham x Morecambe Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Wrexham x Morecambe, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Wrexham Wrexham
1.43
X
4.50
Morecambe Morecambe
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Wrexham x Morecambe:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Wrexham wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wrexham, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Wrexham x Morecambe:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wrexham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $246.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Morecambe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Wrexham scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Morecambe scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Morecambe matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Morecambe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Wrexham is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wrexham x Morecambe

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Summary

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Analysis from Wrexham x Morecambe for the England League 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Wrexham X Morecambe – England League 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Wrexham – Winning probability: 80.26% | Fair line: 1.25
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.35% | Fair line: 7.49
๐Ÿ”ด Morecambe – Winning probability: 6.39% | Fair line: 15.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Wrexham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Wrexham x Morecambe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wrexham x Morecambe

Is betting on Wrexham worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Wrexham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $344.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$144.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on Morecambe?

๐Ÿ”ด Morecambe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wrexham x Morecambe

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Wrexham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wrexham x Morecambe

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Wrexham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Wrexham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Wrexham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wrexham x Morecambe

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves