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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Xelaju x Coban Imperial Betting tips for December 22 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 01h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Xelaju Xelaju
PREDICTION No tip
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
Don't miss this prediction!

Xelaju x Coban Imperial Betting tips for December 22 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Xelaju x Coban Imperial, Sunday, 22/12/2024
πŸ“… 22/12/2024
01:00
Xelaju Xelaju
1.67
X
3.28
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
4.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xelaju x Coban Imperial:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

Some important points for the tip for Xelaju x Coban Imperial:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Coban Imperial in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ Coban Imperial did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Xelaju scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Coban Imperial matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Xelaju x Coban Imperial, with Xelaju as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Xelaju is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ Xelaju has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Coban Imperial playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xelaju x Coban Imperial for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 22 of December

🏟️ Xelaju X Coban Imperial – Guatemala Liga Nacional
πŸ“… 22 of December, 2024 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ Xelaju – Winning probability: 60.98% | Fair line: 1.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.41% | Fair line: 3.18
πŸ”΄ Coban Imperial – Winning probability: 7.61% | Fair line: 13.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xelaju and Coban Imperial.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238712 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

Should you bet on Xelaju?

πŸ”΅ Xelaju: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $408.70;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$18.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $706.80
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$16.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Coban Imperial?

πŸ”΄ Coban Imperial: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $308.80
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$611.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xelaju x Coban Imperial

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Xelaju and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Xelaju.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Xelaju.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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