Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 11:00

Xerez CD 1.70

X 3.10

Atletico Malagueno 5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno

The main points for the tip for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Xerez CD in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Malagueno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 Xerez CD matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Malagueno conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno

Is it a good idea to bet on Xerez CD?

🔵 Xerez CD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $406.00;
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Malagueno?

🔴 Atletico Malagueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Xerez CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Xerez CD and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Xerez CD.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atletico Malagueno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xerez CD x Atletico Malagueno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.