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Home » Predictions » Others » Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 11h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC Xerez Deportivo FC
PREDICTION No tip
CF Lorca Deportiva CF Lorca Deportiva
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Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
11:30
Xerez Deportivo FC Xerez Deportivo FC
2.06
X
2.88
CF Lorca Deportiva CF Lorca Deportiva
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva

Important information for your tip for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Xerez Deportivo FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-129.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Lorca Deportiva in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $520.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Xerez Deportivo FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CF Lorca Deportiva scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Xerez Deportivo FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 21 of December

🏟️ Xerez Deportivo FC X CF Lorca Deportiva – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:30
🔵 Xerez Deportivo FC – Winning probability: 49.40% | Fair line: 2.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.06% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 CF Lorca Deportiva – Winning probability: 18.54% | Fair line: 5.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Xerez Deportivo FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xerez Deportivo FC and CF Lorca Deportiva.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva

Is betting on Xerez Deportivo FC worth it?

🔵 Xerez Deportivo FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $519.40;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$9.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $601.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$78.40.

Should you bet on CF Lorca Deportiva?

🔴 CF Lorca Deportiva: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Xerez Deportivo FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Xerez Deportivo FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Xerez Deportivo FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CF Lorca Deportiva

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves