Yeovil x Barnet Betting tips for November 27 in England National League
| 📅 27/11/2024 19:45 |
 Yeovil3.60 |
X 3.60 |
Barnet  1.85 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Yeovil x Barnet:
🔮 Barnet wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barnet, you can win up to $925.00!
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The main points for the tip for Yeovil x Barnet: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Yeovil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. |
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Analysis from Yeovil x Barnet for the England National League – 27 of November
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🏟️ Yeovil X Barnet – England National League |
When the best bet on Yeovil x Barnet is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Yeovil x Barnet
Should you bet on Yeovil?
🔵 Yeovil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $390.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.
Should you bet on Barnet?
🔴 Barnet: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
- And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Yeovil x Barnet
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Yeovil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Yeovil x Barnet
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Yeovil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Yeovil.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Yeovil x Barnet
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
