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Home » Predictions » Others » Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC Betting tips for December 1 in Hungary NB I
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Hungary NB I
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
MOL Fehervar FC MOL Fehervar FC
ODD: @3.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC Betting tips for December 1 in Hungary NB I

Our betting tip for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
2.45
X
3.28
MOL Fehervar FC MOL Fehervar FC
2.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC:

🔮 Zalaegerszegi TE wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Zalaegerszegi TE, you can win up to $1225.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Zalaegerszegi TE in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on MOL Fehervar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against MOL Fehervar FC, Zalaegerszegi TE scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Zalaegerszegi TE conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, MOL Fehervar FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Zalaegerszegi TE has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against MOL Fehervar FC playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for MOL Fehervar FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC for the Hungary NB I – 1 of December

🏟️ Zalaegerszegi TE X MOL Fehervar FC – Hungary NB I
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Zalaegerszegi TE – Winning probability: 47.74% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.82% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 MOL Fehervar FC – Winning probability: 19.43% | Fair line: 5.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Zalaegerszegi TE
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC

Should you bet on Zalaegerszegi TE?

🔵 Zalaegerszegi TE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $752.40;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$82.40.

Should you bet on MOL Fehervar FC?

🔴 MOL Fehervar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $292.60
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$517.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Zalaegerszegi TE
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Zalaegerszegi TE and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zalaegerszegi TE x MOL Fehervar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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