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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Zamora x Caracas Betting tips for November 2 in Venezuela Primera Division
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 23h30 Venezuela Primera Division
Zamora Zamora
PREDICTION No tip
Caracas Caracas
Don't miss this prediction!

Zamora x Caracas Betting tips for November 2 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Zamora x Caracas, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
23:30
Zamora Zamora
2.87
X
2.90
Caracas Caracas
2.37

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Zamora x Caracas:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Zamora x Caracas

Important information for your tip for Zamora x Caracas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Zamora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Caracas, Zamora scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Zamora x Caracas, with Zamora as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Caracas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Zamora conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Caracas.

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Summary

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Analysis from Zamora x Caracas for the Venezuela Primera Division – 2 of November

🏟️ Zamora X Caracas – Venezuela Primera Division
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 23:30
πŸ”΅ Zamora – Winning probability: 31.46% | Fair line: 3.18
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.05% | Fair line: 3.7
πŸ”΄ Caracas – Winning probability: 41.50% | Fair line: 2.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Zamora
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Zamora x Caracas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214258 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Zamora x Caracas

Should you bet on Zamora?

πŸ”΅ Zamora: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $579.70
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$110.30.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$217.00.

Is betting on Caracas worth it?

πŸ”΄ Caracas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $561.70;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$28.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Zamora x Caracas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Zamora
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zamora x Caracas

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Zamora and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Zamora.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Caracas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zamora x Caracas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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