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Home » Predictions » Others » Zira IK x FK Qarabag Betting tips for May 11 in Azerbaijan Premier League
Saturday, 11 May 2024, 15h30 Azerbaijan Premier League
Zira IK Zira IK
PREDICTION FK Qarabag Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Zira IK x FK Qarabag Betting tips for May 11 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for Zira IK x FK Qarabag, Saturday, 11/5/2024
📅 11/5/2024
15:30
Zira IK Zira IK
3.86
X
3.55
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
1.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Zira IK x FK Qarabag:

🔮 FK Qarabag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Qarabag, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Zira IK x FK Qarabag:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Zira IK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $209.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-63.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Zira IK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FK Qarabag.
👉 Even as a visitor, FK Qarabag won the last 4 head-to-head matches Zira IK´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Zira IK x FK Qarabag for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 11 of May

🏟️ Zira IK X FK Qarabag – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 11 of May, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Zira IK – Winning probability: 12.91% | Fair line: 7.75
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.74% | Fair line: 4.04
🔴 FK Qarabag – Winning probability: 62.35% | Fair line: 1.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Zira IK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Zira IK and FK Qarabag.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1115944 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Zira IK x FK Qarabag

Is it a good idea to bet on Zira IK?

🔵 Zira IK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $371.80;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$498.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.50.

Should you bet on FK Qarabag?

🔴 FK Qarabag: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $458.80
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Zira IK x FK Qarabag

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Zira IK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zira IK x FK Qarabag

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Zira IK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Zira IK.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zira IK x FK Qarabag

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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