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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04 Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga North East
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Regionalliga North East
Zwickau Zwickau
PREDICTION Greifswalder SV 04 Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Greifswalder SV 04 Greifswalder SV 04
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04 Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga North East

Our betting tip for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
Zwickau Zwickau
3.88
X
3.64
Greifswalder SV 04 Greifswalder SV 04
1.73

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Greifswalder SV 04 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Greifswalder SV 04, you can win up to $865.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Zwickau in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Greifswalder SV 04 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $182.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Zwickau matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Zwickau conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Greifswalder SV 04 has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04

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Summary

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Analysis from Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04 for the Germany Regionalliga North East – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Zwickau X Greifswalder SV 04 – Germany Regionalliga North East
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Zwickau – Winning probability: 7.89% | Fair line: 12.67
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.36% | Fair line: 5.76
๐Ÿ”ด Greifswalder SV 04 – Winning probability: 74.75% | Fair line: 1.34
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Zwickau
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04

Is betting on Zwickau worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Zwickau: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $230.40
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$689.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $448.80;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$381.20.

Should you bet on Greifswalder SV 04?

๐Ÿ”ด Greifswalder SV 04: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $547.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$297.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Zwickau
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Zwickau, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Zwickau.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Greifswalder SV 04.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zwickau x Greifswalder SV 04

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves