Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 23:00

Pachuca 2.27

X 3.30

Chivas Guadalajara 2.92

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Chivas Guadalajara matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chivas Guadalajara conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga MX – 19 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pachuca and Chivas Guadalajara.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara

Should you bet on Pachuca?

🔵 Pachuca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $419.10;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$250.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $759.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$89.00.

Should you bet on Chivas Guadalajara?

🔴 Chivas Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $672.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$22.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pachuca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pachuca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Pachuca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Chivas Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pachuca x Chivas Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.