Pachuca x Necaxa Betting tips for November 3 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Pachuca x Necaxa, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 03:00

Pachuca 1.87

X 3.70

Necaxa 3.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pachuca x Necaxa:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pachuca x Necaxa

The main points for the tip for Pachuca x Necaxa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Necaxa, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Necaxa. 👉 Pachuca has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Necaxa playing at home.

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Analysis from Pachuca x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 3 of November

When the best bet on Pachuca x Necaxa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214258 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pachuca x Necaxa

Is it worth betting on Pachuca?

🔵 Pachuca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $469.80;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$9.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$36.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Necaxa?

🔴 Necaxa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $477.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$343.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pachuca x Necaxa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pachuca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pachuca x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Pachuca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Pachuca.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pachuca x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.