Pachuca x Tigres UANL Betting tips for April 16 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Pachuca x Tigres UANL, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 01:00

Pachuca 2.40

X 3.30

Tigres UANL 2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pachuca x Tigres UANL:

🔮 Pachuca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pachuca, you can win up to $1200.00!

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Important information for your tip for Pachuca x Tigres UANL: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $268.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 Tigres UANL did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tigres UANL, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Tigres UANL.

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Analysis from Pachuca x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 16 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pachuca x Tigres UANL right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304965 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pachuca x Tigres UANL

Is it a good idea to bet on Pachuca?

🔵 Pachuca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $784.00;
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$344.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $621.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $315.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pachuca x Tigres UANL

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pachuca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pachuca x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Pachuca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Pachuca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Pachuca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pachuca x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.