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Home Β» Predictions Β» Boavista x Moreirense Betting tips for October 26 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 17h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Boavista Boavista
PREDICTION No tip
Moreirense Moreirense
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Boavista x Moreirense Betting tips for October 26 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Boavista x Moreirense, Saturday, 26/10/2024
πŸ“… 26/10/2024
17:00
Boavista Boavista
3.36
X
3.09
Moreirense Moreirense
2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boavista x Moreirense:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Boavista x Moreirense

Important information for your tip for Boavista x Moreirense:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boavista in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Moreirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ Boavista did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Moreirense scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Moreirense, Boavista scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Boavista x Moreirense, with Boavista as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Moreirense matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Moreirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Boavista has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Moreirense.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Boavista x Moreirense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boavista x Moreirense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Boavista x Moreirense for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 26 of October

🏟️ Boavista X Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga
πŸ“… 26 of October, 2024 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Boavista – Winning probability: 21.17% | Fair line: 4.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.63% | Fair line: 3.06
πŸ”΄ Moreirense – Winning probability: 46.19% | Fair line: 2.16
βš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boavista and Moreirense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boavista x Moreirense

Should you bet on Boavista?

πŸ”΅ Boavista: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $495.60
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$294.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $689.70;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$19.70, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Moreirense worth it?

πŸ”΄ Moreirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$35.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boavista x Moreirense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Boavista
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boavista x Moreirense

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Boavista and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Boavista.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Moreirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boavista x Moreirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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