Braga x Casa Pia Betting tips for May 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Casa Pia, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 17:00

Braga 1.29

X 5.50

Casa Pia 9.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Braga x Casa Pia:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $645.00!

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The main points for the tip for Braga x Casa Pia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $420.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Casa Pia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Braga matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Casa Pia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Braga conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Braga x Casa Pia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Braga x Casa Pia:

Analysis from Braga x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of May

When the best bet on Braga x Casa Pia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1111522 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga x Casa Pia

Should you bet on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $246.50
• And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$96.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $585.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $160.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$820.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Casa Pia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Braga.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Casa Pia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.