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Home » Predictions » Braga x Sporting Betting tips for November 10 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 18h45 Portugal Primeira Liga
Braga Braga
PREDICTION Sporting Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Braga x Sporting Betting tips for November 10 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Braga x Sporting, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
18:45
Braga Braga
4.70
X
4.00
Sporting Sporting
1.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $825.00!

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The main points for the tip for Braga x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $131.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-6.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sporting, Braga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them.
👉 Braga has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sporting playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Braga x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 10 of November

🏟️ Braga X Sporting – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 18:45
🔵 Braga – Winning probability: 13.60% | Fair line: 7.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.10% | Fair line: 8.26
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 74.30% | Fair line: 1.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga x Sporting right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$342.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔴 Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $481.00;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$221.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Sporting

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Braga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Braga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Braga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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