Chaves x Famalicao Betting tips for May 10 in Portugal Primeira Liga
π
10/5/2024 19:15 |
Chaves 2.83 |
X 3.30 |
Famalicao 2.46 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chaves x Famalicao:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Chaves x Famalicao
The main points for the tip for Chaves x Famalicao: π If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Chaves x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 10 of May
ποΈ Chaves X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chaves x Famalicao right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1115880 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chaves x Famalicao
Is it a good idea to bet on Chaves?
π΅ Chaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $603.90;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$66.10.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $667.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$43.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Famalicao?
π΄ Famalicao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $554.80;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$65.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Famalicao
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chaves
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Famalicao
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chaves. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Famalicao
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.