Famalicao x Benfica Betting tips for May 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Famalicao x Benfica, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 19:30

Famalicao 6.84

X 4.89

Benfica 1.37

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Famalicao x Benfica:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $685.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Famalicao x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-12.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Famalicao conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Benfica conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Famalicao conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Benfica. 👉 Even as a visitor, Benfica won the last 3 head-to-head matches Famalicao´s territory

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Famalicao x Benfica?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Famalicao x Benfica, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Famalicao x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of May

When the best bet on Famalicao x Benfica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112029 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Famalicao x Benfica

Is it a good idea to bet on Famalicao?

🔵 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $58.40;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$931.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $194.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$755.50.

Is it worth betting on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $347.80;
• And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Benfica

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Famalicao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Famalicao.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Famalicao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.