Famalicao x Sporting Betting tips for October 26 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Famalicao x Sporting, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 19:30

Famalicao 7.51

X 4.64

Sporting 1.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Famalicao x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $690.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Famalicao x Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-16.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Famalicao matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Famalicao conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sporting. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Famalicao x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 26 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Famalicao and Sporting.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208103 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Famalicao x Sporting

Is it a good idea to bet on Famalicao?

🔵 Famalicao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $130.20
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$849.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $218.40;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$721.60.

Is it worth betting on Sporting?

🔴 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 920 times – profiting $349.60;
• And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$269.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Sporting

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Famalicao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Famalicao. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.