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Home Β» Predictions Β» Rio Ave x Estoril Betting tips for September 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 11h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
PREDICTION No tip
Estoril Estoril
Don't miss this prediction!

Rio Ave x Estoril Betting tips for September 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Rio Ave x Estoril, Saturday, 21/9/2024
πŸ“… 21/9/2024
11:30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
2.02
X
3.23
Estoril Estoril
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Rio Ave x Estoril:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Rio Ave x Estoril

Some important points for the tip for Rio Ave x Estoril:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Rio Ave scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estoril, Rio Ave scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rio Ave x Estoril?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rio Ave x Estoril, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Rio Ave x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of September

🏟️ Rio Ave X Estoril – Portugal Primeira Liga
πŸ“… 21 of September, 2024 – 11:30
πŸ”΅ Rio Ave – Winning probability: 47.56% | Fair line: 2.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.39% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Estoril – Winning probability: 22.05% | Fair line: 4.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rio Ave x Estoril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rio Ave x Estoril

Is it worth betting on Rio Ave?

πŸ”΅ Rio Ave: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$30.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $669.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$31.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Estoril?

πŸ”΄ Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rio Ave x Estoril

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Rio Ave
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rio Ave x Estoril

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Rio Ave and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Rio Ave.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Estoril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rio Ave x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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