Santa Clara x Estrela Betting tips for September 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 21/9/2024 11:30 |
 Santa Clara1.95 |
X 3.30 |
Estrela  3.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Clara x Estrela:
🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $975.00!
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The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Estrela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Santa Clara x Estrela?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santa Clara x Estrela:
Analysis from Santa Clara x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of September
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🏟️ Santa Clara X Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Clara x Estrela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Clara x Estrela
Should you bet on Santa Clara?
🔵 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $598.50;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$228.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.00.
Is it worth betting on Estrela?
🔴 Estrela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Estrela
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Estrela
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Santa Clara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Santa Clara.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Santa Clara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Estrela
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
