Santa Clara x Guimaraes Betting tips for November 10 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Santa Clara x Guimaraes, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 16:30

Santa Clara 2.79

X 3.00

Guimaraes 2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santa Clara x Guimaraes:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $1395.00!

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The main points for the tip for Santa Clara x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $209.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santa Clara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Guimaraes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Santa Clara is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Santa Clara x Guimaraes?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santa Clara x Guimaraes:

Analysis from Santa Clara x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 10 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Clara x Guimaraes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218874 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Guimaraes

Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Clara?

🔵 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $805.50
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$255.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Guimaraes?

🔴 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Clara x Guimaraes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santa Clara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Clara x Guimaraes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Santa Clara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Santa Clara.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Clara x Guimaraes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.