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Home Β» Predictions Β» Puebla x Tigres UANL Betting tips for April 5 in Mexico Liga MX
Saturday, 05 April 2025, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Puebla Puebla
PREDICTION No tip
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Don't miss this prediction!

Puebla x Tigres UANL Betting tips for April 5 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Puebla x Tigres UANL, Saturday, 5/4/2025
πŸ“… 5/4/2025
03:05
Puebla Puebla
4.43
X
3.60
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
1.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Puebla x Tigres UANL:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Puebla x Tigres UANL

Some important points for the tip for Puebla x Tigres UANL:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Puebla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tigres UANL, Puebla scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Puebla x Tigres UANL, with Puebla as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Puebla conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tigres UANL.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Puebla x Tigres UANL?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Puebla x Tigres UANL, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Puebla x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 5 of April

🏟️ Puebla X Tigres UANL – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 5 of April, 2025 – 03:05
πŸ”΅ Puebla – Winning probability: 24.66% | Fair line: 4.05
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.46% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ Tigres UANL – Winning probability: 45.88% | Fair line: 2.18
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.5 Puebla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Puebla and Tigres UANL.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1295872 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puebla x Tigres UANL

Is it a good idea to bet on Puebla?

πŸ”΅ Puebla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $857.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$107.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $754.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$44.00.

Is betting on Tigres UANL worth it?

πŸ”΄ Tigres UANL: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $335.80;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$204.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Puebla x Tigres UANL

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.5 Puebla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Puebla x Tigres UANL

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Puebla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Puebla.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: +0.75 Puebla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puebla x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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