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Home ยป Predictions ยป Santos Laguna x Pachuca Betting tips for October 23 in Mexico Liga MX
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
PREDICTION Pachuca Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Pachuca Pachuca
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Santos Laguna x Pachuca Betting tips for October 23 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Santos Laguna x Pachuca, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
01:00
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
3.14
X
3.48
Pachuca Pachuca
2.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santos Laguna x Pachuca:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pachuca wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pachuca, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Santos Laguna x Pachuca:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santos Laguna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $420.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Santos Laguna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Santos Laguna conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Pachuca.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Santos Laguna x Pachuca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santos Laguna x Pachuca:

Analysis from Santos Laguna x Pachuca for the Mexico Liga MX – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Santos Laguna X Pachuca – Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Santos Laguna – Winning probability: 7.54% | Fair line: 13.26
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.19% | Fair line: 9.82
๐Ÿ”ด Pachuca – Winning probability: 82.27% | Fair line: 1.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santos Laguna
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santos Laguna x Pachuca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santos Laguna x Pachuca

Is it worth betting on Santos Laguna?

๐Ÿ”ต Santos Laguna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $171.20;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$748.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $248.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$652.00.

Is it worth betting on Pachuca?

๐Ÿ”ด Pachuca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $861.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$681.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos Laguna x Pachuca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santos Laguna
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos Laguna x Pachuca

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Santos Laguna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Santos Laguna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Pachuca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos Laguna x Pachuca

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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