Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah Betting tips for November 24 in UAE Division 1
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24/11/2023 12:40 |
Al Jazira Al Hamra 2.55 |
X 3.28 |
Dibba Al Fujairah 2.42 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah:
๐ฎ Dibba Al Fujairah wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dibba Al Fujairah, you can win up to $1210.00!
The main points for the tip for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Al Jazira Al Hamra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah
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Analysis from Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah for the UAE Division 1 – 24 of November
๐๏ธ Al Jazira Al Hamra X Dibba Al Fujairah – UAE Division 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah
Should you bet on Al Jazira Al Hamra?
๐ต Al Jazira Al Hamra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $294.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$515.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $592.80;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$147.20.
Is betting on Dibba Al Fujairah worth it?
๐ด Dibba Al Fujairah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $781.00;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$331.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Jazira Al Hamra
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Al Jazira Al Hamra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Al Jazira Al Hamra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Dibba Al Fujairah.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Jazira Al Hamra x Dibba Al Fujairah
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.