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Home ยป Predictions ยป Atletico San Luis x Leon Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
PREDICTION Leon Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Leon Leon
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico San Luis x Leon Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis x Leon, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
01:00
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
2.60
X
3.40
Leon Leon
2.42

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico San Luis x Leon:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leon wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leon, you can win up to $1210.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico San Luis x Leon:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leon, Atletico San Luis scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Atletico San Luis x Leon

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico San Luis x Leon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico San Luis x Leon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico San Luis x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico San Luis X Leon – Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico San Luis – Winning probability: 24.54% | Fair line: 4.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.94% | Fair line: 3.34
๐Ÿ”ด Leon – Winning probability: 45.52% | Fair line: 2.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico San Luis
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico San Luis x Leon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

Is betting on Atletico San Luis worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico San Luis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$350.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Leon?

๐Ÿ”ด Leon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $653.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$113.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis x Leon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico San Luis
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico San Luis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atletico San Luis.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves