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Home Β» Predictions Β» Atletico San Luis x Leon Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
PREDICTION No tip
Leon Leon
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Atletico San Luis x Leon Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis x Leon, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
01:00
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
2.45
X
3.40
Leon Leon
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico San Luis x Leon:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico San Luis x Leon

The main points for the tip for Atletico San Luis x Leon:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leon, Atletico San Luis scored at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Atletico San Luis x Leon

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico San Luis x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of November

🏟️ Atletico San Luis X Leon – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ Atletico San Luis – Winning probability: 33.56% | Fair line: 2.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.57% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Leon – Winning probability: 37.86% | Fair line: 2.64
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico San Luis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico San Luis and Leon.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis?

πŸ”΅ Atletico San Luis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$167.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Leon worth it?

πŸ”΄ Leon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$12.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis x Leon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico San Luis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Atletico San Luis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico San Luis.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Leon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis x Leon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves