Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
π
25/11/2023 15:00 |
Atletico Sanluqueno 2.25 |
X 3.06 |
AD Ceuta FC 3.05 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
Some important points for the tip for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC: π If you had bet $100 on Atletico Sanluqueno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. |
π Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
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Analysis from Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 25 of November
ποΈ Atletico Sanluqueno X AD Ceuta FC – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
Is it worth betting on Atletico Sanluqueno?
π΅ Atletico Sanluqueno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $437.50;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$212.50.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $597.40
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$112.60.
Is betting on AD Ceuta FC worth it?
π΄ AD Ceuta FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $738.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$98.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Sanluqueno
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico Sanluqueno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Atletico Sanluqueno.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AD Ceuta FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Sanluqueno x AD Ceuta FC
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.