KF Vjosa x KF Kika Betting tips for November 24 in Kosovo Division 1
๐
24/11/2023 12:00 |
KF Vjosa 1.45 |
X 3.75 |
KF Kika 6.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KF Vjosa x KF Kika:
๐ฎ KF Vjosa wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KF Vjosa, you can win up to $725.00!
Some important points for the tip for KF Vjosa x KF Kika: ๐ If you had bet $100 on KF Kika in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for KF Vjosa x KF Kika
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Analysis from KF Vjosa x KF Kika for the Kosovo Division 1 – 24 of November
๐๏ธ KF Vjosa X KF Kika – Kosovo Division 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Vjosa x KF Kika right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika
Is betting on KF Vjosa worth it?
๐ต KF Vjosa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$319.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$700.00.
Is betting on KF Kika worth it?
๐ด KF Kika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $52.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$938.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match KF Vjosa x KF Kika
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 KF Vjosa
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 KF Vjosa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 KF Vjosa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 KF Vjosa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.