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Home Β» Predictions Β» Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
PREDICTION No tip
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
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Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC Betting tips for November 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
03:10
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
1.61
X
3.80
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
4.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

Some important points for the tip for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santos Laguna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $650.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mazatlan FC, Santos Laguna scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Mazatlan FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Santos Laguna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Mazatlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Santos Laguna has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Mazatlan FC.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of November

🏟️ Santos Laguna X Mazatlan FC – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 03:10
πŸ”΅ Santos Laguna – Winning probability: 61.04% | Fair line: 1.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.49% | Fair line: 4.26
πŸ”΄ Mazatlan FC – Winning probability: 15.46% | Fair line: 6.47
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santos Laguna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

Is betting on Santos Laguna worth it?

πŸ”΅ Santos Laguna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $372.10;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$17.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.00.

Is betting on Mazatlan FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Mazatlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$355.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santos Laguna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Santos Laguna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Santos Laguna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Mazatlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos Laguna x Mazatlan FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves