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Home » Predictions » Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for December 2 in Mexico Liga MX
Monday, 02 December 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
PREDICTION Tigres UANL wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for December 2 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
01:00
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
1.45
X
4.40
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis:

🔮 Tigres UANL wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres UANL, you can win up to $725.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico San Luis scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Tigres UANL is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Atletico San Luis has not lost any of them.
👉 Tigres UANL has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico San Luis playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of December

🏟️ Tigres UANL X Atletico San Luis – Mexico Liga MX
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Tigres UANL – Winning probability: 95.58% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.36% | Fair line: 42.44
🔴 Atletico San Luis – Winning probability: 2.07% | Fair line: 48.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tigres UANL
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis

Is it a good idea to bet on Tigres UANL?

🔵 Tigres UANL: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$392.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $68.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$912.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis?

🔴 Atletico San Luis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $95.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$885.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tigres UANL
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Tigres UANL and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Tigres UANL. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tigres UANL x Atletico San Luis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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