Tigres UANL x Monterrey Betting tips for April 13 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tigres UANL x Monterrey, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 01:00

Tigres UANL 2.04

X 3.40

Monterrey 3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tigres UANL x Monterrey:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tigres UANL x Monterrey

Some important points for the tip for Tigres UANL x Monterrey: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $84.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Tigres UANL matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Tigres UANL is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Monterrey has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Tigres UANL x Monterrey for the Mexico Liga MX – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tigres UANL and Monterrey.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tigres UANL x Monterrey

Is it worth betting on Tigres UANL?

🔵 Tigres UANL: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $353.60;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$306.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Monterrey?

🔴 Monterrey: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $858.40
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$228.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Tigres UANL x Monterrey

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tigres UANL
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tigres UANL x Monterrey

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tigres UANL and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tigres UANL.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tigres UANL x Monterrey

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.