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Home ยป Predictions ยป Tigres UANL x Tijuana Betting tips for January 29 in Mexico Liga MX
Wednesday, 29 January 2025, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
PREDICTION Tigres UANL wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Tijuana Tijuana
ODD: @1.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Tigres UANL x Tijuana Betting tips for January 29 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tigres UANL x Tijuana, Wednesday, 29/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 29/1/2025
03:00
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
1.59
X
3.99
Tijuana Tijuana
5.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tigres UANL x Tijuana:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tigres UANL wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres UANL, you can win up to $795.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Tigres UANL x Tijuana:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tijuana, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tigres UANL has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Tijuana.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tigres UANL x Tijuana for the Mexico Liga MX โ€“ 29 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tigres UANL X Tijuana โ€“ Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 29 of January, 2025 โ€“ 03:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tigres UANL โ€“ Winning probability: 83.22% | Fair line: 1.2
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 10.23% | Fair line: 9.78
๐Ÿ”ด Tijuana โ€“ Winning probability: 6.55% | Fair line: 15.27
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.0 Tigres UANL
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tigres UANL x Tijuana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1253705 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tigres UANL x Tijuana

Is it worth betting on Tigres UANL?

๐Ÿ”ต Tigres UANL: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times โ€“ having a profit of $489.70;
  • And would have lost other 170 times โ€“ with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$319.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times โ€“ having a profit of $299.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times โ€“ having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$601.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tijuana?

๐Ÿ”ด Tijuana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times โ€“ having a profit of $281.40;
  • And would lose other 930 times โ€“ losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$648.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tigres UANL x Tijuana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.0 Tigres UANL
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Tigres UANL x Tijuana

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Tigres UANL and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Tigres UANL.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.75 Tigres UANL.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tigres UANL x Tijuana

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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