Tigres UANL x Toluca Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tigres UANL x Toluca, Thursday, 7/11/2024

📅 7/11/2024 01:00

Tigres UANL 1.89

X 3.72

Toluca 3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tigres UANL x Toluca:

🔮 Tigres UANL wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres UANL, you can win up to $945.00!

🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $1750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Tigres UANL x Toluca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $277.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Tigres UANL scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Toluca, Tigres UANL scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL x Toluca, with Tigres UANL as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Tigres UANL conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Toluca. 👉 Tigres UANL has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Toluca playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tigres UANL x Toluca?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tigres UANL x Toluca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tigres UANL x Toluca for the Mexico Liga MX – 7 of November

When the best bet on Tigres UANL x Toluca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tigres UANL x Toluca

Is betting on Tigres UANL worth it?

🔵 Tigres UANL: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $560.70;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$190.70.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $408.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$442.00.

Is betting on Toluca worth it?

🔴 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$230.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tigres UANL x Toluca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tigres UANL
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tigres UANL x Toluca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tigres UANL, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tigres UANL.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Toluca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tigres UANL x Toluca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.