Tijuana x Atlas Betting tips for November 25 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Atlas, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 03:00

Tijuana 2.16

X 3.27

Atlas 3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tijuana x Atlas:

🔮 Tijuana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tijuana, you can win up to $1080.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Tijuana x Atlas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atlas, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Tijuana x Atlas, with Tijuana as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Tijuana has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlas playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tijuana x Atlas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tijuana x Atlas:

Analysis from Tijuana x Atlas for the Mexico Liga MX – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tijuana x Atlas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tijuana x Atlas

Is it a good idea to bet on Tijuana?

🔵 Tijuana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $603.20;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$123.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $544.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$215.20.

Is betting on Atlas worth it?

🔴 Atlas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Atlas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tijuana x Atlas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Tijuana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tijuana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Tijuana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Atlas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.