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Home » Predictions » Tijuana x Club America Betting tips for November 22 in Mexico Liga MX
Friday, 22 November 2024, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Tijuana Tijuana
PREDICTION Tijuana wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Club America Club America
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Tijuana x Club America Betting tips for November 22 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Club America, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
03:00
Tijuana Tijuana
2.89
X
3.60
Club America Club America
2.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tijuana x Club America:

🔮 Tijuana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tijuana, you can win up to $1445.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Tijuana x Club America:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 4 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Club America matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Tijuana is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tijuana x Club America?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tijuana x Club America:

Analysis from Tijuana x Club America for the Mexico Liga MX – 22 of November

🏟️ Tijuana X Club America – Mexico Liga MX
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 03:00
🔵 Tijuana – Winning probability: 37.45% | Fair line: 2.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.92% | Fair line: 6.7
🔴 Club America – Winning probability: 47.63% | Fair line: 2.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tijuana x Club America right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225495 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tijuana x Club America

Is it worth betting on Tijuana?

🔵 Tijuana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $699.30;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$69.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$460.00.

Should you bet on Club America?

🔴 Club America: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$36.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Club America

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tijuana x Club America

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tijuana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Tijuana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tijuana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Club America

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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