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Home ยป Predictions ยป Tijuana x Cruz Azul Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga MX
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Tijuana Tijuana
PREDICTION Cruz Azul Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Tijuana x Cruz Azul Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Cruz Azul, Saturday, 1/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 1/2/2025
03:05
Tijuana Tijuana
2.88
X
3.40
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tijuana x Cruz Azul:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cruz Azul wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tijuana x Cruz Azul:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tijuana scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cruz Azul, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tijuana is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tijuana has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cruz Azul playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tijuana x Cruz Azul?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tijuana x Cruz Azul:

Analysis from Tijuana x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX โ€“ 1 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tijuana X Cruz Azul โ€“ Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 1 of February, 2025 โ€“ 03:05
๐Ÿ”ต Tijuana โ€“ Winning probability: 21.81% | Fair line: 4.58
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 20.10% | Fair line: 4.98
๐Ÿ”ด Cruz Azul โ€“ Winning probability: 58.09% | Fair line: 1.72
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Tijuana
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tijuana x Cruz Azul right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254601 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

Is it worth betting on Tijuana?

๐Ÿ”ต Tijuana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times โ€“ having a profit of $413.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times โ€“ with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$366.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times โ€“ having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times โ€“ losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$320.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cruz Azul?

๐Ÿ”ด Cruz Azul: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $725.00
  • And would lose other 420 times โ€“ losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$305.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Cruz Azul

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Tijuana
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tijuana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Tijuana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: +0.25 Tijuana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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