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Home » Predictions » Tijuana x Cruz Azul Betting tips for November 28 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 03h10 Mexico Liga MX
Tijuana Tijuana
PREDICTION Cruz Azul Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Tijuana x Cruz Azul Betting tips for November 28 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Cruz Azul, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
03:10
Tijuana Tijuana
3.69
X
3.40
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.98

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tijuana x Cruz Azul:

🔮 Cruz Azul wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $990.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tijuana x Cruz Azul:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tijuana scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cruz Azul.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Cruz Azul has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tijuana x Cruz Azul?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tijuana x Cruz Azul, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tijuana x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX – 28 of November

🏟️ Tijuana X Cruz Azul – Mexico Liga MX
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 03:10
🔵 Tijuana – Winning probability: 13.10% | Fair line: 7.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.51% | Fair line: 4.88
🔴 Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 66.39% | Fair line: 1.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tijuana and Cruz Azul.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

Is betting on Tijuana worth it?

🔵 Tijuana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $349.70;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$520.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Should you bet on Cruz Azul?

🔴 Cruz Azul: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $646.80;
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$306.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Cruz Azul

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Tijuana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Tijuana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Cruz Azul

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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