Tijuana x Necaxa Betting tips for April 5 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Necaxa, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025
03:00

Tijuana
2.39

X
3.60

Necaxa

2.51

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tijuana x Necaxa:

🔮 Tijuana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tijuana, you can win up to $1195.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tijuana x Necaxa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-157.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $593.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Necaxa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Necaxa, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Necaxa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Necaxa.

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tijuana x Necaxa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tijuana x Necaxa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tijuana x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 5 of April

🏟️ Tijuana X Necaxa – Mexico Liga MX
📅 5 of April, 2025 – 03:00
🔵 Tijuana – Winning probability: 53.53% | Fair line: 1.87
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.52% | Fair line: 8.68
🔴 Necaxa – Winning probability: 34.95% | Fair line: 2.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tijuana x Necaxa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1295872 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tijuana x Necaxa

Is betting on Tijuana worth it?

🔵 Tijuana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $750.60
And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$290.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $312.00;
And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is it worth betting on Necaxa?

🔴 Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $528.50;
And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$121.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Necaxa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tijuana x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tijuana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Tijuana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Tijuana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.