Tijuana x Puebla Betting tips for November 11 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Tijuana x Puebla, Monday, 11/11/2024

📅 11/11/2024 03:10

Tijuana 1.53

X 4.22

Puebla 5.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tijuana x Puebla:

🔮 Tijuana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tijuana, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tijuana x Puebla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puebla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Puebla did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Puebla, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Tijuana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Puebla conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Puebla. 👉 Tijuana has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Puebla playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Puebla as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Tijuana x Puebla?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Tijuana x Puebla for the Mexico Liga MX – 11 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tijuana and Puebla.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1219192 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tijuana x Puebla

Should you bet on Tijuana?

🔵 Tijuana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 780 times – profiting $413.40;
• And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $386.40;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$493.60.

Is betting on Puebla worth it?

🔴 Puebla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $420.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tijuana x Puebla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tijuana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tijuana x Puebla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Tijuana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Tijuana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Tijuana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tijuana x Puebla

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.