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Home » Predictions » Toluca x Club America Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Club America Club America
ODD: @3.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Toluca x Club America Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Toluca x Club America, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
01:00
Toluca Toluca
2.35
X
3.52
Club America Club America
2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Toluca x Club America:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1760.00!

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Important information for your tip for Toluca x Club America:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-63.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Toluca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Club America scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Club America has not lost any of them.
👉 Toluca has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Club America playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Toluca x Club America for the Mexico Liga MX – 10 of November

🏟️ Toluca X Club America – Mexico Liga MX
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Toluca – Winning probability: 25.15% | Fair line: 3.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.00% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Club America – Winning probability: 43.85% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toluca and Club America.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218775 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Toluca x Club America

Is it a good idea to bet on Toluca?

🔵 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $337.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $781.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$91.20.

Is it worth betting on Club America?

🔴 Club America: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$188.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Club America

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Club America

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Toluca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Toluca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Club America.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Club America

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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