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Home » Predictions » Toluca x Club America Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Liga MX
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 23h00 Mexico Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
PREDICTION Toluca wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Club America Club America
ODD: @2.01 Don't miss this prediction!

Toluca x Club America Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Toluca x Club America, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
23:00
Toluca Toluca
2.01
X
3.50
Club America Club America
3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Toluca x Club America:

🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $1005.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Toluca x Club America:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Toluca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Toluca matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Club America matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Toluca has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Club America playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Toluca x Club America for the Mexico Liga MX – 30 of November

🏟️ Toluca X Club America – Mexico Liga MX
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Toluca – Winning probability: 61.73% | Fair line: 1.62
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.39% | Fair line: 5.44
🔴 Club America – Winning probability: 19.87% | Fair line: 5.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toluca and Club America.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toluca x Club America

Is it worth betting on Toluca?

🔵 Toluca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $626.20
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$246.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it worth betting on Club America?

🔴 Club America: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Club America

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Club America

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Toluca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Toluca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Club America.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Club America

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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