Toluca x Leon Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 2/11/2024 23:00 |
 Toluca1.51 |
X 4.50 |
Leon  5.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toluca x Leon:
🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $755.00!
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Important information for your tip for Toluca x Leon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $79.0. |
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Analysis from Toluca x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of November
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🏟️ Toluca X Leon – Mexico Liga MX |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toluca and Leon.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213279 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Toluca x Leon
Is it worth betting on Toluca?
🔵 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 740 times – profiting $377.40;
- And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Should you bet on Leon?
🔴 Leon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Leon
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Leon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Toluca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Toluca.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Toluca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Leon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
