Toluca x Leon Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 2/11/2024 23:00 |
 Toluca1.51 |
X 4.50 |
Leon  5.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toluca x Leon:
🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $755.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Toluca x Leon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $79.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Toluca x Leon?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Toluca x Leon:
Analysis from Toluca x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of November
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🏟️ Toluca X Leon – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Toluca x Leon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214258 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Toluca x Leon
Is it worth betting on Toluca?
🔵 Toluca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $372.30;
- And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.
Is it worth betting on Leon?
🔴 Leon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Leon
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Leon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Toluca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Toluca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Toluca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Leon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
