Toluca x Pachuca Betting tips for March 29 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Toluca x Pachuca, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 23:00

Toluca 1.77

X 3.80

Pachuca 3.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Toluca x Pachuca:

🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $885.00!

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Important information for your tip for Toluca x Pachuca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $159.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Toluca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Pachuca, Toluca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Toluca matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Toluca x Pachuca, with Toluca as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Toluca is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Toluca x Pachuca?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Toluca x Pachuca for the Mexico Liga MX – 29 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toluca and Pachuca.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toluca x Pachuca

Is betting on Toluca worth it?

🔵 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $438.90;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$8.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pachuca?

🔴 Pachuca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $622.60
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$157.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Pachuca

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Pachuca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Toluca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Toluca.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Pachuca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.